- This is a comparative down week in college football. There are just two matchups between top 25 teams, and one of those four teams probably shouldn’t be ranked. Having said that Ole Miss going down to the Bayou to take on the Tigers at night is the toughest test on the schedule for any of the contenders. USC/Utah is the other one and…I mean….great, I guess. Whatever. Other than that, if there is going to be any movement in the playoff picture in advance of the first rankings, it is going to have to come from a rival stepping up, like Penn State against Ohio State, Michigan against Michigan State, any of the SEC games (Kentucky? South Carolina?) I’m sure it will be great, and that college football will happen (upsets, basically), but it lacks the marquee matchups that we had the past few weekends.
- I don’t trust the Champions’ League. I enjoy picking the Premier League games, and even some other domestic league games, but for whatever reason (I’d like to think it isn’t just because I don’t really know soccer, although it’s definitely because I don’t really know soccer), the Champions League games seem like a crapshoot for me. It’s too bad, since it gives you some mid-weekday action to work with, but it just isn’t worth it because I always lose, so I stay away.
- It is time for your weekly “OHMIGODTHECOWBOYSAREGOOD!’ post. This week: we have a chance to go to 7-1, and we get to do it against…Colt McCoy! That’s the good news. The bad news is that it’s going to suck when we go 1-7 for the rest of the season after that to inevitably finish at 8-8, because even when they look like the best team in the league, that’s what the Cowboys do. Still, though, may as well enjoy it while it lasts! HOW BOUT THEM COWBOYS!
- I had my laptop fall off a table and break this week, and now I need to find a way to transfer content from the old hard drive to my new computer. I don’t even have a joke/point/complaint here. I just desperately need my school outlines, and I’m hoping someone can tell me how to do this. Okaythanks.
- So out of AJ McCarron, Johnny Manziel, Aaron Murray and Connor Shaw. I, for one am excited to see all four of them get a shot in the pros and to see how many can make it. So with that in mind, the first rookie SEC quarterback to start an NFL game in 2014 will be…oh goddammit. It’s Zach Mettenberger. Was he even good at LSU? His biggest career win was 6-3 against Bama in 2012. Sick job dude. Seriously, the SEC sent four STUDS into the NFL last year, and we end up with the Cajun (but not really because I guess he is from Georgia) Curt Cousins under center before any of them. The lesson here is clear: projecting rookie quarterbacks first year performance is basically pointless.
- I miss Johnny. Not even so much in that I wish they would put him in in Cleveland. I miss Saturday Johnny. I knew I would and I wrote about it last year, but yeah. I do. I miss this Johnny:
- Ever since I wrote about how college is where the logical picks are, and that there is no real advantage to any of the NFL lines, I have been crushing NFL games. I’m petrified to even type this, as it inevitably means that my NFL picks will now go to hell, but that’s a hit that I will have to take in the name of content for you, the reader. For instance, last week I got crushed in college (see below), but doubled down on the Cowboys and Cardinals (favorites, what’s up), and ended up breaking even. The lesson, as always: fickle bunch, the gambling gods.
- I was ready to pick the Chargers (+9) on the road tonight. That’s a ton of points for a really good team, and I’m still tempted to do it, but when I started to write it up, my justification was ‘but really they probably lose by 30.’ I think it’s fair to say that I am in my own head. Either way, I’m picking the Chargers tonight for monopoly money purposes, but I’m not going to throw it in the picks, mainly because these Thursday night games are so sloppy that a 9 point cover feels like a field goal.
- I got killed last week, which is what I get for making 10 college football picks while I was riding a stationary bike at 8:00 AM after being out late the night before. At least I got them in, though. This week, I need to bounce back, so I’m putting more time in the picks, and actually including some NFL games. 4-6 last week, but still 43-38 on the year.
I. UConn (+28) over ECU
May or may not get NitPicks up by tonight, but Uconn (+28 over ECU) is the correct side.
— Jack Morgus (@OVSportsJack) October 23, 2014
We have reached the saturation point with ECU. Their offense is great, but they are getting a little more love than they probably deserve, and UConn is just notterrible enough to keep it within a few scores.
II. Cal (+19) over Oregon
Cal has the offense to be competitive in every game. Oregon has been great with a healthy line, but I think that Cal will push them.
III. Boise State (-7) over BYU
BYU’s intimidation factor minus Taysom Hill is approximately zero.
IV. TCU (-23) over Texas Tech
Hey, Kliff Kingsbury is awesome and charismatic and we love him! His team couldn’t stop a nosebleed. They suck. Lay the points.
V. West Virginia (+1) over Oklahoma State
Call your guy and tell him you don’t need his charity. West Virginia wins outright. Not that this is a bold prediction what with a 1 point line but still.
VI. Arizona (-2.5) over Washington State
Arizona is a missed field goal away from being undefeated. Washington State is 2-5/Washington State. This line is nonsense. Book it while you can.
VII. South Carolina (-19) over Auburn
I don’t see SC getting an upset at Jordan-Haare, but that’s a ton of wiggle room.
VIII. Oregon State (+13) over Stanford
13 points is a big ask of an offense that has been downright inept at times.
IX. Seahawks (-6) over Panthers
I’ve said many times that Seattle isn’t the same team away from Seattle, but I will take the defending champs with (one would think) a fire lit under them over a supremely average Carolina team.
X. Packers (Pick) over Saints
Saints are 2-0 at home but the Packers are rolling.