.1. We’re just a week removed from rivalry weekend, and it isn’t even championship weekend yet in college football, but the fact is that there are two emotions that are prevailing for me regarding college football right now: depression and dread. I know I should be focused on the upcoming championships, bowl games and the (Russillo’s or Rece Davis’s voice) FIRST. EVER. COLLEGE FOOTBALL. PLAYOFF. Presented by Dr. Pepper (I listen to entirely too much sports talk radio). I am looking forward to those things, and you better believe I will enjoy them, I will enjoy the HELL out of them. But Championship week has a dirty little secret. Championship week means that you couldn’t possibly be farther from the next rivalry weekend, and that’s a shame because rivalry weekend is AWESOME. Thanksgiving should be renamed pre-rivalry-weekend-feast. Your move congress.
.2. Need some evidence? Here. Watch this:
Need some more? Here’s this
(Yeah I know I posted that trailer last week too. It’s awesome. Sue me.)
Fine one more…
.3. It isn’t just the iron bowl, either. That entire nation goes nuts for rivalry week. I’m not going to lie to you. I’m slipping. Almost a year until the next full college football weekend. Please, no!
.4. Apparently, they are shutting down the above chant (the Dixieland Delight one, not Rammer Jammer), which is MALARKEY. First, the obvious: Not playing Dixieland Delight will not prevent drunk college kids from swearing at football games. More importantly,
.4. HOLY HELL Thomas Vanek sucks at gambling. Do you have any idea how hard it is to lose TEN MILLION DOLLARS gambling? Me neither, because that is literally inconceivable. I’ve had to pay up on a six-pack bet before, and while checking out at 7-Eleven, thinking damn this one hurts, and chances are I was going to get at least one or two of the beers. It probably isn’t like his bookie was some billionaire, either. Dude probably wasn’t letting him slap down 500k on some MACtion. 7k-10k can move a line in Vegas. Bookies play the long odds. They aren’t giving back 100k at a time because the Eagles covered. That means that Vanek most likely lost $10 million betting 5-10 thousand at a time (and even that is a lot). That means he lost 1000 more bets (minimum) than he won. Let that sink in. Vanek has made 57 million in his career (according to a Capgeek number that I glanced at without crosschecking or even seeing if that includes future contracts but whatever it’s around there). On the one hand, that leaves 47 million dollars made in less than a decade- plenty to live off of, but on the other hand, he lost almost 20% of his income betting. The Thomas Vanek picks newsletter (wherein we trick Thomas to give out his honest picks, which we then short) would be the most subscribed to email list in the world. Vegas would go out of business in a football season.
TEAM GET MINE!
Kinda funny, obviously meaningless, right? Except that that bucket—no joke, covered the spread. Unbelievable. Someone has to investigate that kid for point shaving, right?
.7. Speaking of point shaving…when the first allegations against Jamies Winston came out, they seemed patently ridiculous, right? There was a year of film on him and he was the biggest target on everyone’s schedule. Now, though? I don’t know. It is still, obviously a extremely unlikely. I;m not saying he is, but the contrast between how he is playing in first halves the past couple of months and the way that he has looked at all other times is staggering. I guess what I’m saying is that I don’t think he is shaving points, but if it were to come out that he is, it wouldn’t be the most surprising thing that I’ve ever heard.
.8. A few thoughts on Serial, which is AWESOME:
(Spoilers for days)
First of all, Gutierrez, in addition to clearly having health issues that precluded her from doing her job, made a huge mistake by bringing in Mr. S into the trial.
She also completely whiffed with an apparent shot in the dark about how she may be able to discredit the most compelling facts in the state’s case, and focused her biggest “get” on something that was ultimately meaningless. Other than that, and the fact that she lost in a case that everyone agrees had tons and tons of doubt, she did a bang up job.
The obvious theory, to me, is that Jay and Adnan were selling drugs together. Something happened, and they did it together. Them doing it together seems almost obvious, what isn’t is why he hasn’t flipped on Jay, or what their actual relationship was. (Admittedly the Barstool theory actually ties that together more elegantly than anything else I have heard.)
.9. I got offered free tickets to the Pac12 Championship game by not one, not two but THREE completely separate friends. Awesome, right? Except for the fact that I had an exam at 6:00 on Friday night, which is rough enough when you aren’t passing up the opportunity to go to a major college football championship.
I mean, I get that typically skipping exams goes contrary to the traditional policies of a law school, but they say that a good lawyer knows the rules, a great lawyer knows the exception. This great lawyer thinks that there should be an exception to the “you have to go to all your exams” rule.
.10. AAAND Finally, let’s take a look at what we can expect Sunday night, what should happen, what might happen and what will happen.
My first instinct is that I want Baylor punished. It’s nothing personal, I just think that if you are going to play the weakest schedule that you possibly can and bank on running through it, not running through it should mean that you don’t play for the title. I get that they beat TCU, and that makes it tough to argue that the Horned Frogs should make the playoff over them, so ultimately I will be rooting for K-State to make the decision for the committee. If Baylor wins, I think that the committee treats them as the conference champion, and the K-State win is the strongest they have, giving their resume a significant boost. I think that they get in (unless Ohio State absolutely ROLLS Wisco). Given this exact scenario, I guess I would be okay with that, but it sucks that their schedule (and the Big12’s lack of a title game) will be rewarded.
Also, the committee is meeting in Grapevine, TX to make the decision, because apparently Barry Alverez, Mike Gould and Condi Rice are going to go antique shopping after they get their four. (That’s a joke that you only get if you have spent time in Plano County, Texas, but so be it).
9-1, no, seriously, I went 9-1 last weekend. And you were wondering why I love rivalry week so much. #FreeMoney. 82-59 on the season
.I. Cowboys (-4.5) over Bears
<blockquote class=”twitter-tweet” lang=”en”><p>Cowboys -3.5, yes please. I'm on record, NitPicks forthcoming but probably not before kickoff.</p>— Jack Morgus (@OVSportsJack) <a href=”https://twitter.com/OVSportsJack/status/540614676581588993″>December 4, 2014</a></blockquote>
<script async src=”//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js” charset=”utf-8″></script>
.II. Cincinnati (-7) over Houston
I think that Gunner Keil is good. His numbers aren’t exceptional but he has gone off when I have been watching, so there is that.
.III. Oklahoma State (+21) over Oklahoma
A huge number for Bedlam. Take three scores in a rivalry game.
.IV. Missouri (+15) over Alabama
This was the toughest call of the weekend, but you can’t just ignore the SEC title game. Bama could certainly win by 20, but ultimately, I just think that Mizzu can keep it close. The 15th point could come into play, but I’m taking the dog.
.V. Kansas State (+7) over Baylor
This game is a toss up, could go either way. With that in mind, take the seven degrees of charity.
.VI. Wisconsin (-4) over Ohio State
.VII. Colts (-4) over Browns
.VIII. Cardinals (+1) over Cheifs
.IX. Seahawks over Eagles
.X. Patriots (-4) over Chargers